The cycle turned. After three cuts through 2025, the RBA has raised three times this year, and the cash rate has sat at 4.35% since 5 May 2026. The Board held on 16 June 2026 and said inflation is still too high.
That changes what you can borrow, which lenders are competitive this month, and how much a loan you signed two years ago is quietly costing you. Here is the whole picture as it stands in August 2026: borrowing capacity, rates, deposits, costs and timing, with sources you can check.

Written by Joshua Khoury
Founder & Mortgage Broker · Credit Representative #578405
Updated 2 August 2026
The RBA cash rate is 4.35% after three increases in 2026, and the Board held at its 16 June 2026 meeting. Advertised owner-occupier variable rates from the majors sit around 6.09% to 6.44% p.a. as at August 2026. Lenders must assess repayments 3 percentage points above the actual rate, and since 1 February 2026 APRA has capped lending at six times income or more to 20% of each lender's new lending. Sydney's median dwelling value was $1,265,608 at 30 June 2026.
Last reviewed
Two rules set your ceiling before any lender looks at your payslips.
The first is the serviceability buffer. APRA still requires lenders to test your repayments 3 percentage points above the rate you would actually pay (APRA System Risk Outlook, May 2026). On a 6.09% loan you are assessed at 9.09%. That single rule is why borrowers who could comfortably afford the real repayment get told no.
The second is newer and most pages have not caught up with it. From 1 February 2026, APRA limits new lending at a debt-to-income ratio of six times or more to 20% of a lender's new lending, counted separately for owner-occupier and investor books (announced 27 November 2025). Bridging loans for owner-occupiers and new-build and construction lending sit outside the cap.
In Sydney that cap bites harder than anywhere else, because loan sizes here are large next to incomes. A couple on a combined $200,000 hits six times income at $1.2 million of total debt, and the median Sydney house was $1,556,258 at 30 June 2026 (Cotality). Plenty of otherwise strong files now sit just over the line.
It is not a hard ban. It is a quota, so each lender manages its own share and the appetite differs from month to month and from one lender to the next. Knowing who has room in their bucket this week is a large part of the job. Our borrowing power calculator will give you a starting range, and a conversation will tell you which lenders will actually go there.
The cycle turned. Rates fell three times through 2025, from 4.35% to 3.60% by August, then rose three times this year: 3.85% on 3 February, 4.10% on 17 March, 4.35% on 5 May. The Board held on 16 June 2026 and said inflation is still too high, adding that it would consider a further increase if required. The remaining 2026 decisions are 11 August, 28 to 29 September, 2 to 3 November and 7 to 8 December.
Advertised owner-occupier variable rates as at August 2026: CBA's Digi Home Loan at 60% LVR or below is 6.09% p.a. (comparison 6.22%), ANZ Simplicity PLUS is 6.39% to 6.44% p.a., and NAB Base Variable is 6.44% p.a. (comparison 6.44%). On two-year fixed, ANZ is 6.29% (comparison 7.06%), CBA 6.34% (comparison 8.09%) and NAB 6.54% (comparison 6.82%).
Those figures move weekly. Advertised rates are not the rate you get either, since discounts are negotiated on the file, and a comparison rate that jumps three points above the headline is telling you what happens when the fixed term ends. Treat every number above as a snapshot for orientation, not a quote.
What I care about more is which lender is pricing sharply for your exact profile this month. A 60% LVR owner-occupier refinance and a 90% LVR purchase are two different markets, and the leaderboard is rarely the same in both.
Canstar looked at what happened after the 1 May 2026 increase and found 23 lenders cut variable rates afterwards, but only for new customers. None of the 23 was a big four bank (Canstar, 16 July 2026).
The same analysis found 41 lenders advertising variable rates under 6% while a borrower five years into their loan was sitting near 6.98%. On a $600,000 loan, Canstar put the saving from refinancing at $10,713 over two years.
RBA data says the same thing more quietly. Outstanding owner-occupier loans averaged 5.98% against 5.92% for new loans in April 2026. The gap looks small until you notice it exists at all: existing borrowers, on average, pay more than the person signing today.
Nobody at your bank is going to ring and tell you this. If your loan has not been reviewed in twelve months, that is the whole reason to have someone look at it, and our refinance page walks through what the switch involves.
Twenty per cent of a $1.2 million Sydney purchase is $240,000 before costs. Most buyers are not waiting until they have that, and they do not have to.
Below 20%, lenders' mortgage insurance usually applies. It protects the lender, not you, and it typically runs between 1% and 5% of the loan depending on the lender, the insurer, the loan size and your LVR. It can normally be capitalised, meaning added to the loan rather than paid on the day. As a rough guide from Westpac's calculator (via money.com.au, updated 30 June 2026), a 90% LVR purchase costs about $14,184 on a $500,000 property and $31,900 on $800,000; at 95% it is roughly $17,028 and $35,554, and about $44,607 on a $1,000,000 purchase. Your quote will differ.
Two schemes avoid LMI entirely. The Australian Government 5% Deposit Scheme, previously the First Home Guarantee, was expanded on 1 October 2025: no place cap, no income cap, 5% deposit, no LMI. Housing Australia publishes the New South Wales price cap as $1,500,000 for Sydney and the listed regional centres and $800,000 for the rest of the state, and it asks buyers to confirm the cap for their specific postcode using its own tool before committing.
Help to Buy is the shared equity option. Applications opened 5 December 2025 with 10,000 places a year, a 2% deposit and no LMI, and the government takes an equity share of up to 40% on a new home or 30% on an existing one. New South Wales caps are $1,300,000 for Sydney and regional centres and $800,000 elsewhere in the state. Income caps from 1 July 2026 are $103,000 for a single applicant and $165,000 for a couple or single parent. The participating lender list is short, with CBA and Bank Australia among the named lenders, so this scheme narrows your choices in a way the 5% Deposit Scheme does not.
There is a trade-off worth saying out loud: a smaller deposit means a larger loan, and a larger loan runs into the DTI cap sooner. First home buyers get the fuller version of all of this on our first home buyers page.
Stamp duty is the big one, and in New South Wales first home buyers can avoid it. Under the First Home Buyers Assistance Scheme, transfer duty is fully exempt to $800,000 and concessional between $800,000 and $1,000,000, with vacant land exempt to $350,000 and concessional to $450,000. You have to move in within twelve months and live there for twelve continuous months. Those thresholds have not changed since 1 July 2023 and were left alone in the 2026-27 NSW Budget (Revenue NSW).
The First Home Owner Grant is $10,000, but only on a new or substantially renovated home, capped at a $600,000 home or $750,000 for land and build combined. Most Sydney buyers will clear the duty exemption and miss the grant.
Foreign buyers pay surcharge purchaser duty of 9% of dutiable value on top of ordinary duty (Revenue NSW, page updated 27 May 2026).
Lender fees vary enough that market averages are useless, so here is one published example instead. Macquarie's Home Loans Product Guide (January 2026) charges a $350 documentation fee, $248 a year for the Offset package, nothing annually on its Basic Home Loan, no monthly account-keeping fee, and $1,500 in construction administration where that applies. Every lender publishes an equivalent document, and comparing those documents rather than the marketing is how you find out what a loan actually costs.
Then the ordinary ones: conveyancing, pest and building, registration, and a valuation if the lender charges for it. We list the lot with dollar figures before you commit to anything.
They came back. Mozo counted roughly 13 offers as at 30 June 2026: The Mutual Bank up to $5,000, IMB Bank and BankVic up to $4,000, Greater Bank, ME Bank and Newcastle Permanent up to $3,000, ANZ up to $3,000 but for first home buyers only after it dropped its refinance cashback for existing borrowers in October 2025, Regional Australia Bank $2,000 and BOQ $2,000.
Most require a loan of around $250,000 or more and an LVR at or below 80%, and almost all carry a clawback period of 12 to 24 months, meaning you repay the cash if you leave early.
Here is the part the ads leave off: a cashback almost never beats a better rate over the life of the loan. A $3,000 cheque against 0.20% more interest on an $800,000 loan is a bad trade inside two years. Take the cash when the rate is competitive anyway. Do not chase it.
Six weeks is the honest answer for most purchases, from first call to keys, assuming a normal settlement period and no surprises in the file.
Get a quick assessment from Oshy. No commitment, no jargon, just an honest read on your situation.
The situation
Combined income $205,000, a $110,000 deposit, chasing a $1.15 million house in the inner west. Their own bank pre-assessed them and stopped, because at 9.09% assessed and a debt-to-income ratio just over six times, the file sat inside the sliver of high-DTI lending that lender had already filled for the quarter.
The outcome
Nothing about them needed fixing. We closed a $14,000 car loan that was costing more capacity than it was worth, moved them to a lender with room in its high-DTI allocation, and used the 5% Deposit Scheme so no LMI applied. Pre-approved in four business days, and because the lender was one of the fast ones, formal approval landed inside their finance clause without an extension.
Momentum Intelligence's Broker Pulse survey for March 2026, published 25 April 2026, measured business days from submission to approval. The spread is the story: 1.6 days at one end, 19.5 at the other. When you are racing a finance clause or a 42-day settlement, that gap decides whether the deal survives.
Tell us what you're trying to do — buy, refinance or invest. No commitment, no documents needed.
We listen, ask the right questions, and give you an honest picture of what's possible.
We compare a wide range of lenders, recommend the best fit, and handle everything from application to settlement.
Local market notes, median prices and lender quirks for every suburb we cover.
Servicing all of Greater Sydney - book a call and we'll come to you, in person or by video.
Send an enquiry and Josh will personally review your situation. No commitment, no jargon, just honest answers.